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Archive for January 3rd, 2008

Kosovo : Une crise fabriquée par l’Occident

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Kosovo : Une crise fabriquée par l’Occident

Des nations puissantes menacent la Serbie. Cette dernière, appuyée par la Russie, ignore les ultimatums. La guerre éclate. Tel fut le scénario qui se produisit durant l’été 1914, lorsque le monde plongea dans la guerre qui devait “arrêter toutes les guerres”. Près d’un siècle plus tard, la situation est incroyablement similaire.



par Neil Clark, The Australian28.12.07

Traduit de l’anglais (Australie) par Nathanael Genet

Malgré les menaces pour qu’elle accepte l’indépendance du Kosovo, Belgrade tient bon. Les forces armées serbes sont parées à retenir la province par la force si nécesaire. La Russie a promis un soutien à la Serbie.

Si la guerre s’ensuit, il ne fait pas de doutes que les gouvernements occidentaux en feront porter la responsabilité sur la Serbie, pour ne pas s’être soumise. Mais cela procéderait d’un jugement inéquitable.La crise actuelle sur la question du Kosovo a été causée, non pas tant en raison d’une intransigeance serbe, mais par la politique d’intervention des occidentaux dans les affaires intérieures d’Etats souverains, qui, depuis plus d’une décennie, a causé le chaos, non seulement dans les balkans, mais tout autour du globe.

Il y a dix ans, le Kosovo était relativement en paix. Les aspirations indépendantistes des kosovars transitaient au travers de la Ligue démocratique, le parti pacifique de Ibrahim Rugova, alors que les maigres forces paramilitaires albanaises qui existaient déjà étaient isolées et jouissaient d’un faible soutien dans l’opinion publique kosovare.

Selon un rapport de l’agence Jane’s intelligence datant de 1996, l’armée de libération du Kosovo (UCK), la faction la plus extrême des groupes paramilitaires, ne prenait pas en considération l’importance politique ou économique de ses victimes, ni ne semblait en état de nuire à son ennemi.

La force militaire de l’UCK était loin de faire le poids en terme de puissance militaire. Aussi tard qu’en novembre 1997, l’UCK était encore classifiée comme organisation terroriste par les Etats-Unis, et ne pouvait, comme cela a été estimé, mobiliser guère plus de 200 hommes.

Soudainement, effectuant un revirement stratégique dont les répercussions se font encore sentir aujourd’hui, l’Occident se mirent à interférer. Les Etats-Unis, l’Allemagne et la Grande-Bretagne commencèrent de plus en plus à considérer l’UCK comme une force qui pourrait permettre d’atteindre l’objectif de déstabiliser voire renverser le régime d’un Slobodan Milosevic qui ne semblait guère incliné à intégrer les structures euro-atlantiques.

Dans l’année qui suivit, le statut de l’UCK évolua considérablement. L’UCK fut retirée de la liste établie par le Département d’Etat américain des organisations considérées comme “terroristes” et, à l’instar des Mujahidin en Afghanistan une décennie auparavant, ses membres commencèrent à être qualifiés de “combattants de la liberté”.

Une assistance de grande ampleur fut accordée à l’UCK par les forces militaires occidentales. Les britanniques organisèrent des camps d’entrainement sercrets dans le Nord de l’Albanie. Les services secrets allemands fournirent des uniformes et des instructeurs.

En Grande-Bretagne, le Sunday Times publia un rapport citant des agents des services secrets américains qui admettaient avoir aidé à l’entrainement de l’UCK avant les bombardements de l’OTAN contre la Yougoslavie. Dans le même temps, la Ligue démocratique de Rugova – qui était favorable à des négociations avec Belgrade – fut purement et simplement écartée.

Lorsque la campagne de violence de l’UCK, qui était dirigée non seulement contre les officiels yougoslaves mais également contre les civils serbes et les albanais qui ne partageaient pas leur agenda extrêmiste, provoqua une riposte de Belgrade, britanniques et américains étaient fins prêts à lancer des ultimatums.

Durant la campagne de bombardement de 79 jours menée par l’OTAN qui s’ensuivit, les occidentaux firent des promesses d’indépendance à l’UCK, des promesses qui les rattrapent aujourd’hui.

Reconnaître l’indépendance du Kosovo fera sortir la Serbie de l’orbite occidentale, tout en provoquant de sérieux risques de guerre. Et cela créera un précédent car, si les droits à l’autodétermination sont reconnus aux albanais du Kosovo, qu’en sera-t’il des serbes de Bosnie qui souhaitent de leur côté le rattachement à la Serbie?

En revanche, effectuer un virage à 180 degrés et tenter de retarder l’indépendance fait désormais courir le risque de violences provoquées par la majorité albanaise du Kosovo. C’est la quadrature du cercle, du fait des seuls occidentaux.

Sans l’ingérence de ces derniers dans les affaires yougoslaves il y a dix ans, la Ligue démocratique kosovare et le gouvernement de Belgrade seraient probablement parvenus à un compromis pacifique. L’objectif de Rugova était l’indépendance du Kosovo, mais pas sans l’accord de toutes les parties en présence.

Ce qui est certain, c’est que sans l’ingérence occidentale, l’UCK n’aurait jamais eu le poids qu’elle finît par atteindre.

En soutenant la faction la plus dure du Kosovo, l’Occident a non seulement précipité la guerre, mais aussi rendu le “casse-tête” du Kosovo encore plus difficile à résoudre.

Il est ironique de constater que pour les interventionnistes les plus convaincus, l’action occidentale au Kosovo continue d’être perçue comme un grand succès. C’est au plus fort de la campagne de bombardement de l’OTAN contre la Yougoslavie en 1999 que le Premier ministre britannique de l’époque, Tony Blair, fit son fameux discours, à Chicago, dans lequel il présentait sa doctrine de communauté internationale.

Blair défendait l’idée que le principe de non ingérence dans les affaires d’Etats souverains – considéré depuis des lustres comme un principe clé de l’ordre international – devait être soumis à révision. “Je vous le dit : ne vous arrêtez pas à la doctrine de l’isolationnisme” plaida-t’il.

Mais après avoir jeté un oeil au débris d’une décennie d’ingérence occidentale aux quatre coins du globe, des Balkans à l’Afghanistan et l’Irak, est-il suprenant que l’isolationnisme et l’observation des principes de non interférence dans les affaires d’Etats souverains soient si séduisants?

Neil Clark est un contributeur régulier du “The Spectator” et “The Guardian” en Grande-Bretagne, et enseigne les relations internationales à l’Oxford Tutorial College.

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22966948-7583,00.html

Repris (en anglais) sur :

http://www.kosovocompromise.com/


Jeudi 03 Janvier 2008
ng@ngenet.net  Alterinfo

La Syrie fait savoir qu’elle non plus ne veut plus parler à la France

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La Syrie fait savoir qu’elle non plus ne veut plus parler à la France


La Syrie a décidé de cesser les discussions avec la France destinées à trouver une solution à l’impasse politique au Liban, a annoncé mercredi le ministre syrien des Affaires étrangères Walid Moallem, trois jours après que le président français Nicolas Sarkozy eut annoncé la fin des contacts avec Damas.

“La Syrie a décidé d’arrêter la coopération franco-syrienne pour résoudre la crise libanaise”, a annoncé le chef de la diplomatie syrienne lors d’une conférence de presse à Damas. “Il semble que les Français aient voulu nous tenir responsables de leur échec à convaincre la majorité parlementaire libanaise d’accepter un plan français” pour sortir de la crise, a-t-il affirmé.

Dimanche, au Caire, Nicolas Sarkozy avait affirmé qu’il ne “prendrait plus de contact” avec la Syrie tant que Damas n’aurait pas “prouvé dans les faits” sa volonté d’aider le Liban à sortir de sa crise politique.

Selon Walid Moallem, la Syrie et la France étaient d’accord depuis le départ sur la nécessité que toute solution au Liban soit fondée sur un “consensus” entre les partis, pour l’élection d’un président de “consensus”, la formation d’un gouvernement d’unité nationale, une nouvelle loi électorale et la neutralisation du rôle des Etats-Unis au Liban, qui a-t-il expliqué, “fait obstacle à la réconciliation nationale libanaise”.

La Syrie, a ajouté le ministre, a été surprise par les déclarations de Nicolas Sarkozy “malgré les efforts que la Syrie a exercé ses dernières semaines (…) et malgré la flexibilité manifestée par l’opposition pour faciliter l’obtention d’un consensus”.

Le chef de la diplomatie syrienne a ajouté que son pays s’était vu offrir des “incitations” comme une visite de Nicolas Sarkozy à Damas s’il exerçait une pression sur l’opposition libanaise pour faciliter une sortie de crise. “Mais la Syrie a refusé de faire pression sur l’opposition. Nous savons que l’opposition libanaise n’acceptera aucune pression de quiconque”, a-t-il ajouté, appelant les partis libanais à reprendre le dialogue pour parvenir “à une solution de consensus, loin de toute interférence étrangère”.

Le Liban est sans président depuis la fin de l’expiration du mandat du président Emile Lahoud, le 23 novembre dernier. Un accord n’a toujours pu être trouvé au sein du Parlement libanais qui doit élire son successeur. L’opposition a régulièrement boycotté les séances destinées à élire le président, empêchant d’atteindre le quorum requis.

Si l’opposition et la majorité avaient fini par se mettre d’accord pour soutenir le chef de l’armée, le général Michel Sleimane, comme président de compromis, son élection n’a toujours pu avoir lieu, notamment parce que l’opposition a posé de nouvelles conditions, dont un accord sur un gouvernement d’union qui lui donnerait un droit de veto sur les décisions importantes.

http://www.aloufok.net/article.php3?id_article=4344


 

Written by eldib

January 3, 2008 at 8:26 pm

Posted in France, Israel

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Video de Benazir Bhutto disant qu’Osama Ben Laden a été Assassiné – Le Mobile du Crime ?

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Video de Benazir Bhutto disant qu’Osama Ben Laden a été Assassiné – Le Mobile du Crime ?


Bhutto : Ben Laden a été assassiné

Au cours d’une interview de David Frost, journaliste britannique à la BBC (son émission “Breakfeast with David Frost” est prisée pour les interviews de personnalités politiques connues sur la scène internationale) le 2 novembre 2007, Benazir Bhutto dit suspecter plusieurs groupes de vouloir l’assassiner. Vers la fin de cette interview (2mn14) elle parle d’un homme qui selon ces dires a assassiné Ben Laden.

(« The man who murdered Ossama Bin Laden »).

Certains ont dit que ces mots étaient un lapsus car le lendemain sur la chaîne américaine CNN1 elle reconnaissait que Ben Laden était en vie.

Alors, s’est-elle rendant compte de la dangerosité de ce qu’elle venait de dire le jour précédent, compte tenu de l’importance du mythe Ben Laden dans la « guerre contre le terrorisme « menée par les US et leurs alliés, et a-t-elle voulu rattraper sa gaffe ?

Sachant l’importance cruxiale que représente Ben Laden dans l’opération psychologique (psyop) médiatique machavièlique pour justifier auprès de l’opinion publique la politique étrangère de violence colonialiste des US, les mesures prises partout dans le monde par les gouvernements pour limiter les libertés individuelles, les programmes de surveillance rapprochée des populations civiles, les arrestations multiples de « suspects » souvent très vite relâchés, ou détenus et torturés comme à Guantanamo, la peur distillée régulièrement par les médias sur la « menace Ben Laden », Bhutto a-t-elle été éliminée, entre autres, par la CIA/ISI pour cette « gaffe « ?

A noter que le gouvernement pakistanais s’est empressé d’accuser Al Qaeda de l’assassinat de Bhutto, qu’il a cherché à dissimuler la version comme quoi elle aurait été assassinée par balle alors qu’une vidéo prouve le contraire. Un assassinat par balle ne correspond pas aux méthodes d’assassinat d’Al Qaeda. On peut argumenté qu’un kamikase s’est ensuite fait explosé, mais celui-ci n’est pas, selon la vidéo de l’assassinat, celui qui a tiré et qui semble –t-il a pu s’enfuir. Cet assassinat s’apparente plus à une exécution de sang froid menée par des services secrets et maquillée en attentat suicide. Alors Bhutto aurait -elle vendu la mèche : Ben Laden a été assassiné, Ben Laden est mort ?

    

 

Alterinfo

planetenonviolence.org

_____________________________________________________________

Commentaire 

By Jean, 4 jan, 4:06  :

Une chose etrange est que la version officiel de BBC a la sentence de OBL decoupe (t 5:00) http://news.bbc.co.uk/player/nol/newsid_7070000/newsid_7075800/7075843.stm?bw=nb&mp=wm&news=1&ms3=6&ms_javascript=true&nol_storyid=7075843&bbcws=2#

Quelques idees: Le Frost doit savoir qu’est-ce que elle a dit. Et est tres vraisemblable, que l’equipe savait, que la sentence a ete decoupe. Mais il y a la version integrale sur le internet et c’est vraisemblable que pas publie de la part de BBC. (une version integrale est pour exemple ici:

     

- al-Jazeera Youtube channel version) (l’Osama sentence est autour 6:00).
Il y a aussi les autres parts – au moins sur le but de l’interview (examinez le) – decoupes dans la version BBC.
Je pense, que cela mets la information de OBL dans un completement autre lumiere et c’est possible, que c’est la message dans la bouteille.
Je prie les autres de sauver les videos et propager I’information dans les autres discussions ou possiblement medias. Je pense, que il vient le temps de commencer d’interpeller le BBC pas seulement d’ou viendrait la information le WTC7 va se jetter bas, mais aussi les autres questions torrides.

Written by eldib

January 3, 2008 at 8:23 pm

Saudi Sheikhs Contradict Saudi Regime

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Saudi Sheikhs Contradict Saudi Regime
 
By: seymore
on: 03.01.2008

   
Originally posted on December 17, 2006

A number of Saudi religious scholars and sheikhs issued a detailed and lengthy Fatwa on Thursday December 7, 2006, published on Sunday December 10, 2006, denouncing the atrocities against Iraqi Sunnis by Shiites and US forces. The statement was published online and signed by 38 renowned Saudi religious scholars who said that the Shiites are the allies of the US crusaders and are seeking the division of Iraq. The statement also called on all Muslims to support Iraq’s Sunnis and the Mujahideen.

This statement comes at the same time as the Saudi regime has warned Washington it might provide financial aid to Iraqi Sunnis in any fighting against Shiites IF the United States pulls its troops out of Iraq. While the Saudis have promised their US masters that it would not intervene to assist Iraq’s Sunni “insurgency” they are once again using slight of hand to garner US favor and protection from the very “insurgency” that lies on its own doorstep by making claims its own scholars do not endorse.

While the sheer length of the Saudi Scholar’s Fatwa makes its difficult for the JUS Arabic team to translate at this time on top of daily news and projects already the works, al-Fajr Information Center has published a statement by Al-Qaeda author Lewis Attiyaullah regarding this important Fatwa that highlights its core message. Attiyatullah is a well known Al-Qaeda intellectual and strategist who frequently makes regular contributions to the Sawt Al-Jihad magazine.

We are pleased to bring you his statement, published here uncut and uncensored, as translated by JUS.

We remind our viewers that the opinions and points of view expressed in this statement are those of the author and shall not be deemed to mean that they are necessarily those of JUS, the publisher, editor, writers, contributors or staff

In The Name Of Allah The Most Gracious The Most Merciful

Giving Glad Tiding To Muwahhideen (People of Tawheed) On The Clemency Of The Scholars And The Mujahideen

All praise and true gratitude to Allah, may peace and blessings be upon the servants of Allah and His prophet, Muhammad, his household, companions and army.

To proceed;

Indeed the explanation coming from a group of scholars has made us happy. Among them are highly respected scholars, like Sheikh Abdurrahman Al-Barak and Sheikh Abdullah Al-Gunaiman, may Allah help and protect them all. This declaration was on Thursday 16 Dhul-Qa’dah, 1427H and was published on Sunday 19th Dhul-Qa’adah.

The scholars explained the dangers of “Rafidah” (infidels), may Allah disgrace them, and invited all Sunni Muslims to help their brothers in Iraq in their fight against fierce enemies who are surrounding them, wanting to get at them to extinguish the light of revelation that is with them.

May Allah reward our scholars for this. We ask Allah to help them, strengthen them in truth and the religion and to affirm us and them in this world and in the Hereafter. This declaration is a good step, by the will of Allah, even though it came late. We verily acknowledge and understand the situations of the scholars, the environment, the movement and others. We ask Allah to help them and us and make us right, for He is All-Hearing, All-Answering. We ask the scholars – may Allah make them right, to increase their sacrifice and motivation. There is no time to waste; the enemy is highly equipped and the situation calls for intelligent and effective work, night and day. It also requires great army that won’t tire or give up.

I cautioned my brothers, the people of Jihad, and their helpers, may Allah help them, from falling into belittlement or difficulty or negation of the Scholars, with statements like, “these Scholars did not speak up except with the permission of these Idols,” This is not allowed for anyone to utter, except from among those working, then we do not object his action in consideration of other nobilities. But these statements are not allowed and we must silence anyone saying these things or spreading them. We shall not be affected by the blame of the blamers and we truly know that among the scholars are righteous ones, about whom, this cannot be thought of! We enjoin justice and kindness, encourage every good work, extend our hands to good people, love forgiveness, give and receive glad tidings, and we will, upon all that, be alert in ourselves and to other people.

Allah, the Exalted said:

“And among them are men who hurt the prophet and say: “He is (lending his) ears (to every news).” Say: He listens to what is best for you; he believes in Allah; has faith in the believers; and is a mercy to those of you who believe.”

We should then find excuses for good people and know that perhaps the scholars only see now as befitting and road clear for them to continue to uplift the banner of truth and help in ways like this declaration and others. This is an opinion that stands on point, by the will of Allah. We should then be straight and be close.

Allah, the Exalted said:

“Show forgiveness, enjoin what is good, and turn away from the foolish.”

The explanation given by the Scholars included the dangers and enmity of the “infidels” on Sunnah and Sunnis. It includes explanation on the obligation of fighting them and helping our Sunni brothers in Iraq. It also include a call on the Mujahideen, may Allah help them, to build a strong force of fighters in Iraq by uniting and forming one row, like a solid structure. It highlighted that we gain victory over our enemies by our deeds and piety and also warned against eroded at by our own selves, which is inclined to evils.

The declaration also includes good words of love and affection from the scholars to the Mujahideen despite the difficult situation and the injustice and fear our Ummah is going through and from the scholars – may Allah protect them, came:

“We call on all Mujahideen to join hands with their scholars and do not take any decision without them”.

I am sure, by the will of Allah, that our brothers, the Mujahideen, lent their hands of unity, love, friendship and respect to their Scholars – may Allah protect them, and will continue to do so, in obedience to Allah and His messenger and the party of the believers, especially the righteous scholars who rise and defend the affairs of the religion according to their abilities. Verily dear scholars, the Mujahideen are your sons, young brothers, students, helpers and lovers for Allah’s sake. They, on the other hand, want to see the scholars participate in the Jihad with their hands, tongues, etc; and in carrying out the obligation of the present time, and uphold of truth with sound judgment and defense of sincere people and detest of liars! We are indeed sure that this hardship and difficultly our Ummah is going through, is nothing but tests and trials, some will pass while others will fail, Allah will choose from it those to be honored with martyrdom and cleanse with it the sins of many of His believing servants. The good end will surely be for the Muslims, the Sunnis and true followers of prophet Muhammad may peace and blessing be upon him. We do not doubt this, a bit…

Verily, victory and success has means of being achieved as explained by Allah in His book and as relayed by our Prophet, may peace and blessing be upon him. Victory will surely come but before then, there must be patience, hurts, injuries and pains and all praise be to Allah, the Lord of all that exists. The most important means of achieving victory, after piety, is a strong bond, unity, togetherness, love and consensus between the Scholars and the Mujahideen. These two, in our present day, are the drivers of the affairs of the Ummah and its spokesmen and advocates. If they unite, love each other and help one another, then give our Ummah good news of victory and success and a clear opening by the will of Allah. The enemies of Allah, try their utmost, by day and by night, through different methods of casting fear or terror and other means at their disposal, to ignite trouble between them. Allah only lets off the one exempted from among them.

Verily, a key from the sources of “Tawheed” is between Scholars and the Mujahideen, the strengthening of their rows, the unification of their voice, the binding of their hearts with love, so they will be like one, merciful, helping the complete hand in unity not division, teaching goodness and preaching the truth with what Allah bestowed on them of knowledge, love and respect for all.

Other key points to be added to what the scholars said are:

• We are advising our Sunni brothers to join their brother fighting in the Islamic Nation of Iraq and other righteous fighters also in Iraq.

• We strongly oppose and warn the Sunnis from sending their sons and daughters to schools and universities or other working places and mixed places outside their safe territories and it is not allowed for them to go near danger places and mixed places like Baghdad and others, so as to avoid being harmed with the bombing of the disbelieving infidels.

• We call on all Sunnis to arm themselves and put their trust in Allah and to organize themselves in their homes, towns and cities and defend themselves, night and day, and keep contact with the Mujahideen.

• By Allah, oh our Sunni brothers, nothing will help you aside putting your trust in Allah, than participating in Jihad, forsaking the weak cowards, forsaking the world and preparing either for honorable death or good living. And know that indeed you are in serious battle. By Allah, if we are to suppose that the infidels are able to win and occupy your land, then surely the living among you would wish he is dead!

• We advise the all Sunnis in every Muslim land to prepare for what is coming in Syria and the Peninsula and all Muslim Nations. And to also prepare themselves with alms and weapons and whatever means of power they can and to be alert and be of good understanding while following up on current events.

“And Allah has control of All affairs but many men know not.”

“And power belongs to Allah, His messenger and the believers but the hypocrites know not”.

We ask Allah to bind the hearts of the Mujahideen in love and gather their affairs on faith, and to help the Mijahideen for His sake, in Iraq and other places. May He destroy the enemies of religion; the Infidels, Crusaders and their helpers… Ameen.

And all praise be to Allah, the Lord of all that exists and may peace and blessing be upon our Prophet Muhammad, his household and all of his companions.

Lewis Atiyyatullah
Al-Fajr Media Centre
Tuesday, 21 Dhul Qa’dah 1427H
December 12, 2006

Written by eldib

January 3, 2008 at 8:14 pm

studies suggest that over-consumption of fluoride can raise the risks of disorders affecting teeth, bones, the brain and the thyroid gland

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Studies suggest that over-consumption of fluoride can raise the risks of disorders affecting teeth, bones, the brain and the thyroid gland

NEW YORK, Jan. 2

PRNewswire-USNewswire/ — “

Some recent studies suggest that over-consumption of fluoride can raise the risks of disorders affecting teeth, bones, the brain and the thyroid gland,” reports Scientific American editors
(January 2008). “Scientific attitudes toward fluoridation may be starting to
shift,” writes author Dan Fagin.

“Fluoride, the most consumed drug in the USA, is deliberately added to 2/3 of
public water supplies theoretically to reduce tooth decay, but with no
scientifically-valid evidence proving safety or effectiveness,” says lawyer
Paul Beeber, President, New York State Coalition Opposed to Fluoridation.

Fagin, award-wining environmental reporter and Director of New York
University’s Science, Health and Environmental Reporting Program, writes,
“There is no universally accepted optimal level for daily intake of fluoride.”
Some researchers even wonder whether the 1 mg/L added into drinking water is
too much, reports Fagin.

After 3 years of scrutinizing hundreds of studies, a National Research Council
(NRC) committee “concluded that fluoride can subtly alter endocrine function,
especially in the thyroid — the gland that produces hormones regulating
growth and metabolism,” reports Fagin.

Fagin quotes John Doull, professor emeritus of pharmacology and toxicology at
the University of Kansas Medical Center, who chaired the NRC committee thusly,
“The thyroid changes do worry me.”

Fluoride in foods, beverages, medicines and dental products can result in
fluoride over-consumption, visible in young children as dental fluorosis –
white spotted, yellow, brown and/or pitted teeth. We can’t normally see
fluoride’s effects to the rest of the body.

Reports Fagin, “a series of epidemiological studies in China have associated
high fluoride exposures with lower IQ.”

“(E)pidemiological studies and tests on lab animals suggest that high fluoride
exposure increases the risk of bone fracture, especially in vulnerable
populations such as the elderly and diabetics,” writes Fagin.

Fagin interviewed Steven Levy, director of the Iowa Fluoride Study which
tracked about 700 Iowa children for sixteen years. Nine-year-old “Iowa
children who lived in communities where the water was fluoridated were 50
percent more likely to have mild fluorosis… than [nine-year-old] children
living in nonfluoridated areas of the state,” writes Fagin. Levy will study
fluoride’s effects on their bones.

Over 1200 professionals urge Congress to cease water fluoridation and conduct
Congressional hearings because scientific evidence indicates fluoridation is
ineffective and has serious health risks. Support them; write your
representative here:
salsa.democracyinaction.org/o/2477/t/2782/campaign.jsp?campaign_KEY=21960

     Contact
    Paul Beeber, Esq.
    www.orgsites.com/ny/nyscof
    www.FluorideAction.Net
    tinyurl.com/6kqtu
    516-433-8882
    nyscof@aol.com

SOURCE  NYS Coalition Opposed to Fluoridation

/PRNewswire-USNewswire — Jan. 2/

Written by eldib

January 3, 2008 at 2:01 am

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Broke Britain: millions face struggle to stay afloat as financial crisis hits home

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Broke Britain: millions face struggle to stay afloat as financial crisis hits home

By Martin Hickman, Consumer Affairs Correspondent
Published: 02 January 2008

Debt experts are predicting a record number of personal insolvencies this year as excessive Christmas shopping, rising mortgage payments and soaring food and fuel costs force thousands of people over the financial edge and into bankruptcy.

More than nine million individuals in Britain are now believed to be struggling to pay credit card bills and mortgages, with the average owed by problem debtors hitting £30,000.

In alarming figures to be released tomorrow, the accountancy firm Grant Thornton predicts the total number of personal insolvencies will jump to at least 120,000 this year, almost triple the equivalent figure in 2004, when just under 47,000 people went bankrupt.

Insolvency experts say people have been readily loading large amounts of debt on to credit cards and personal loans, despite the economic slowdown.

High-street shops and online retailers reported higher-than-forecast takings in December, while the new year sales have also been busier than expected. One commentator described the Christmas shopping spree as one last hurrah before a tougher 12 months ahead.

Although the economy is still vibrant and employment plentiful, the supply of cheap and easy credit that has revved the economy for years is being turned off as a result of the sub-prime lending crisis in the United States. Fewer mortgages are being granted to people in Britain with poor credit records. Credit card limits are being lowered and personal loans are becoming harder to obtain.

According to a poll conducted by Uswitch.com in November, 38 per cent of new applicants for credit cards and 19 per cent of applicants for new personal loans were rejected, while 6 per cent have had their credit card limit cut. With food and fuel prices also set to rise in the new year, levels of disposable income are likely to drop, deepening the difficulties of those attempting to repay debts.

Those already in debt will find themselves at the mercy of collection agencies more determined than ever to recoup money for clients. According to one industry journal, the coming crisis means that “debt collection agencies will need to adopt more sophisticated methods in order to deliver value back to their clients”.

The latest figures indicate that 23 per cent of people – 9.5 million adults – were finding their current level of debt “unmanageable”. Although the Bank of England cut the base rate of interest last month, an estimated 1.4 million people will still have to pay more for their home loans when their fixed-rate deals come to an end this year, costing an extra £150 to £250 a month.

Tomorrow, Grant Thornton will forecast that 10,000 individuals will hit the financial wall each month in 2008, with 28,000 individuals sliding into insolvency in the first quarter. As many as one third of bankruptcies in the first three months of the year will be caused by “excessive Christmas spending”.

Mike Gerrard, the head of Grant Thornton’s personal insolvency practice, said: “Sadly, many individuals spend up on credit at Christmas and pay no heed to the financial warning bells. Come January, they find themselves in a situation where previous financial woes are compounded by the bills arriving from the festive season and in these situations insolvency becomes the only way out.”

Mike Naylor, a personal finance expert at uSwitch.com, remarked: “People have enjoyed easy access to cheap credit for quite some time, but for some, the party really could be over.” He said those with a poor credit record would experience a particularly tough time.

In a survey last month, the Bank of England found that more than one fifth of those whose mortgage deals had come to an end last year struggled to meet higher payments.

Experts predict a rise in Individual Voluntary Agreements (IVAs), a less stringent form of bankruptcy, because banks are once again accepting them after quibbling with their terms last year. Bankruptcies are also expected to be more readily accepted by individuals because they have become so commonplace and so their stigma has fallen.

Malcolm Hurlston, the chairman of the Consumer Credit Counselling Service (CCCS), predicted there would be a small rise in IVAs and a “quite substantial” rise in bankruptcies.

When individuals are declared bankrupt their debts are written off, but they are often credit- blacklisted for years and may have difficulty finding a job.

Debt agencies said they had been busy during December, which is usually a quiet time.

On average, people approaching the CCCS have debts of £30,000. About 45 per cent of that is from personal loans, 40 per cent from credit cards and 5 per cent from store cards and other lending. The organisation estimates that 7 per cent of the adult population is experiencing serious debt problems, which would represent about 3.3 million people in the UK.

“Nearly all of them have lost control,” said Mr Hurlston. “Some of them can sort their finances out but some of them need some kind of solution, which might be making voluntary payments; it could be IVAs or it might be bankruptcy.”

Steady increases in the cost of living are expected to tighten the screw. In only 12 months, Grant Thornton said the cost of filling up a vehicle with unleaded petrol had increased by 16 per cent, which meant the public was having to find an extra £155 a year to fill up the car.

Mr Gerrard said: “Coupled with rapidly increasing gas and electricity prices, which are forecast to jump by more than 10 per cent early this year, it’s easy to see how those already struggling to pay off credit, particularly those servicing mortgages, are caving in to the pressure.” He warned: “I believe personal insolvency numbers will move forward at a much faster pace than anticipated.”

Howard Archer, the chief UK economist at Global Insight, suggested that in general people would have to be more frugal this year. “Household purchasing power is likely to be dented by higher energy and food prices over the coming months, while many home owners face having to re-fix their mortgages at significantly higher rates.

“Furthermore, increasing concerns about the economic outlook are likely to further encourage consumers to tighten their belts,” he said.

The British Bankers’ Association urged people to check their finances carefully and to get in touch with lenders as soon as they got into difficulty.

How to keep on top of your cash

Five money-managing tips from the British Bankers’ Association

Keep an eye on your spending – check your bank statements;

Don’t ignore the bills – where you can, arrange to pay monthly so you can spread the cost;

Be careful with the credit card – if you’re tempted to overdo it, leave the card at home;

Start to save, or save a bit more – there are some good offers as banks compete for your cash;

If you think you are heading for difficult financial times, go and talk to your bank sooner rather than later.
http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/this_britain/article3300968.ece

Written by eldib

January 3, 2008 at 1:38 am

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China Flexes Its Muscles

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China Flexes Its Muscles
 
By: GORDON G. CHANG
on: 02.01.2008

Wednesday, January 2, 2008

The U.S. Navy said it was “befuddled” by Beijing’s last-minute November denial of a long-arranged port call for the Kitty Hawk carrier group in Hong Kong. This turndown was on top of China’s refusal to provide shelter for two U.S. minesweepers seeking refuge from a storm, and its rejection of a routine visit for a frigate, the Reuben James. The Air Force also received a “no” for a regular C-17 flight to resupply the American consulate in Hong Kong.

The immediate causes of these rebuffs may be American arms sales to Taiwan, which China regards as sovereign territory, and the award of a congressional medal to the Dalai Lama, with whom Beijing has had a multi-decade spat. But so many turndowns suggest the decisions were made at the highest levels of the Chinese central government — and at a time when senior leaders are reorienting the country’s foreign policy. Washington’s relations with Beijing, in short, appear headed for increasing disagreement and tension.

Deng Xiaoping, who turned China away from Maoist revolution, believed that the country should “bide time” and keep a low profile in international affairs. Deng wanted Beijing to “seek cooperation and avoid confrontation,” especially with the U.S. China, after a series of disastrous episodes like the Cultural Revolution and the Tiananmen massacre, needed a peaceful environment and the help of outsiders to rebuild its shattered economy.

Deng’s successor, Jiang Zemin, followed this general approach even though he wanted Beijing to pursue his “big country” ambitions. Mr. Jiang desired recognition for China’s growing status, but he saw his nation working cooperatively with the U.S. and its allies as partners.

Current President Hu Jintao has shifted China in a new direction. Like Mr. Jiang, he believes that the country should assert itself. But unlike his predecessor, he seems to think that China should actively work to restructure the international system to be more to Beijing’s liking. In short, the current leader appears to see his country mostly working against the U.S.

The shape of China’s grand strategy became apparent after a series of meetings in Beijing in the second half of 2006. In August, the Communist Party convened its Central Work Conference on Foreign Affairs. The meeting, the culmination of a half-year, top-to-bottom review of the country’s external policies, brought together for the first time all members of the Politburo, provincial governors and Party secretaries, the State Council and central government ministers, about 60 ambassadors and 30 other diplomats, and key military officers with foreign affairs responsibilities.

Significantly, the public summary of the meeting did not include references to the invariably cited “bide time” strategy of Deng Xiaoping — an indication of a fundamental change in thinking. Adopting the new tone, that same month Beijing’s top U.N. diplomat in Geneva, Sha Zukang, told the U.S. to “shut up” about China’s military buildup.

Later in the year, senior leaders met one or more times to confirm the new foreign policy direction. As veteran China watcher Willy Lam has noted, Mr. Hu and the leadership decided “to make a clean break with Deng’s cautious axioms and instead, embark on a path of high-profile force projection.”

Mr. Hu’s reorientation of foreign policy is a consequence of his increasing reliance on the People’s Liberation Army as a political base inside the Party. Since the middle of 2004, he stepped up efforts to court senior generals for support of his efforts to assert supremacy over Jiang Zemin, who has been clinging to power and blocking some of his initiatives. The military, for example, appears to have been behind Mr. Hu’s partially successful effort, in the run-up to last year’s 17th Party Congress, to pick his own successor.

It seems that at the massive conclave, held once every five years, Mr. Hu obtained the assistance of the more hawkish officers of the PLA in return for accelerating increases in military spending, promoting some of them to senior positions — especially Gen. Chen Bingde to be the chief of general staff — and steering the country toward a more assertive posture toward other nations in general, and Taiwan in particular.

There are several other incidents consistent with China’s new assertive posture. In October 2006, a Chinese submarine for the first time surfaced in the middle of an American carrier group. This episode, occurring in the Philippine Sea southeast of Okinawa, was an obvious warning to the U.S. Navy to stay away. And in January of last year, the PLA, in an unmistakable display of military power, destroyed one of China’s old weather satellites with a ground-based missile.

Beijing’s military has also started to boast about its new weapons and war-fighting capabilities. Peace Mission 2007, cooperative military exercises in Central Asia in August, was China’s first large-scale foreign military deployment, and recent military maneuvers, apparently rehearsals to take Taiwan and disputed islands in the South China Sea, were remarkable in scope and sophistication.

China’s new ambitions have been confirmed by Hong Yuan, a military strategist at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, who noted a significant departure from Beijing’s prior posture. China, he said in October, intended to project force in areas “way beyond the Taiwan Strait.”

China’s military assertiveness has been matched by tougher diplomacy. Last year, a series of high-level meetings showed that Beijing has moved closer to Moscow to cement their “friendship for generations” and confirm their opposition to American initiatives, especially to stop the Iranian nuclear program.

China’s sustained campaign against German Chancellor Angela Merkel for meeting the Dalai Lama in September is also notably intense. China even threatened military and political responses over economic disputes — such as those relating to market barriers and intellectual property piracy — at last month’s session of the “Strategic Economic Dialogue,” the high-level talks between the U.S. and China.

The Kitty Hawk port call fits into this pattern. In the past, this snub would have merely been the product of petulance. Today, it is another indication of a change in China’s approach to the world.

Last month, Washington and Beijing agreed to put the Kitty Hawk and similar incidents behind them. Now, the challenge for the U. S. is to recognize that Chinese attitudes have turned a corner, and to craft new policies in response.

Mr. Chang is the author of “The Coming Collapse of China” (Random House, 2001).

http://two–plus–two.blogspot.com/2008/01/china-flexes-its-muscles.html

Written by eldib

January 3, 2008 at 1:24 am

Posted in Chine, USA

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Why the era of cheap food is over

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Why the era of cheap food is over

Corn, milk, bread, and other farm products hit record high prices in 2006
– and will likely keep rising in 2008.
from the December 31, 2007 edition

The rise and rise of world food prices

Read the full seriesFood prices worldwide hit record highs in 2006, and all the signs are that they will go on rising this year, and for the foreseeable future. The era of cheap food, the experts say, is over and we are going to have to get used to it. This is easier said than done for millions around the world, as evidenced by protests in Mexico over the cost of corn tortillas, and in Italy last September about the price of (wheat) pasta. Staff writer Peter Ford looks at why.

What is behind the increases in food prices?

Certainly not bad harvests. Although a drought hit the traditionally bountiful Australian wheat harvest this past year, world cereal harvests hit 2.1 billion metric tons, a record production level, according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO).

Two major trends have been pushing prices up faster than they have risen for more than 30 years. One is that increasingly prosperous consumers in India and China are not only eating more food but eating more meat. Animals have to be fed (grains, usually) before they are butchered. The other is that more and more crops – from corn to palm nuts – are being used to make biofuels instead of feeding people.

At the same time, the world is drawing down its stockpiles of cereal and dairy products, which makes markets nervous and prices volatile.

The result, says Joachim von Braun, who heads the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) in Washington, is that “the world food system is in trouble. The situation has not been this much of a concern for 15 years.”

How big a factor is the biofuels boom?

It is significant enough for the FAO to be warning about the dangers of turning too much food into fuel, and for the Chinese government, for example, to ban the construction of new refineries that use corn or other basic foods. In fact, earlier this month Beijing announced tax breaks and subsidies to encourage the use of cellulose, sweet sorghum, and cassava (nonfood crops in China) for biofuels.

Some analysts estimate that as much as 30 percent of the US grain crop will go toward producing ethanol this year, a doubling from 2006. IFPRI forecasts that if the world sticks to current biofuel expansion plans, the price of corn will go up 26 percent by 2020, and the price of oilseeds (such as soybean, sunflower, rapeseed) by 18 percent. If governments double efforts to produce this alternative fuel source, corn prices are expected to go up 72 percent and oilseeds by 44 percent in 12 years’ time.

Who gets hit hardest? Does anyone benefit?

As usual, it is the poorest people in the world who suffer most, because food takes up a bigger share of their daily shopping bill than it does for richer people. A family in Bangladesh, for example, living on $5 a day, typically spends $3 of that on food. The 50 percent rise in food prices the world has seen in recent years takes a $1.50 chunk – nearly 30 percent – out of the family budget.

Even farmers are not immune. On the whole, small-scale farmers in developing countries buy more food than they sell, so they, too, are net losers. Relatively few peasants have holdings large enough to benefit from price increases.

Big farmers in the rich countries, however, are doing well: US corn farmers have seen the price their crop fetches jump by 50 percent since 2000. Other net food exporters, such as India, Australia, and South Africa, will also do well out of rising prices. Major dairy producers, such as New Zealand, have done well as consumption of milk, yogurt, and cheese rises in Asia. As a result, while property values in New Zealand are generally expected to soften, flat rural land, where cows can graze, is expected to continue to rise in price, according to a survey by Massey University in New Zealand.

Will market forces correct the situation, as farmers switch to the high-earning crops?

Not as quickly as you might expect, though the European Union, the largest food exporter in the world, has suspended a “set-aside” program that had paid its farmers to leave 10 percent of their land fallow (so as to prevent oversupply).

Cereal prices are considered “inelastic,” meaning that a 10-percent price increase tends to boost supplies by only one or two percentage points. While prices are high, they are also very volatile at the moment, which scares a lot of farmers off making the investments they would need to switch crops.

At the same time, the food market overlaps with the fuel market. Farmers can now sell their corn, their palm nuts, or their sugar to biodiesel refineries. So the price of palm oil, for example, traditionally the cheapest in Africa, is now set not by the cooking oil market, but by the fuel market.

It will not help that climate change and the accompanying floods and droughts will reduce cereal output in more than 40 developing countries, mainly in Africa, according to recent studies.

Where will food shortages be most acute?

Wherever the underlying trends of rising prices and scarcer supplies are compounded by special problems. Sometimes they are natural disasters, such as the cyclone and flooding that hit Bangladesh last November, wiping out many people’s stocks of food. Sometimes they are man-made, as in the Democratic Republic of Congo, where continuing civil conflict and mismanagement disrupt the market, or in Zimbabwe, where inflation of more than 7,000 percent and a crumbling economy are threatening people already short of food.

“The hot spots of food risks will be where high prices combine with shocks from the weather or political crises,”, says Dr. von Braun. “These are recipes for disaster.”

What effect will high prices have on hunger-prevention programs?

A big one says the World Food Program (WFP), the UN agency in charge of emergency food aid, which reported last year that food aid flows had reached their lowest levels since 1973.

Food prices “are an incredible concern for us at the moment” says WFP spokesman Robin Lodge. “The same dollars don’t buy the same amount of food as they used to,” and donations to the agency are flat.

The WFP has been making a big effort to buy food from countries as near as possible to crisis zones, to cut transport costs, and in 2007 it had 15 million fewer people to feed than in 2006 because there were fewer major emergencies.

“But we are now about as tight as we can get, so unless donations go up there is no doubt about it, we will have to reconsider who we are feeding and the rations” says Mr. Lodge. “There is no other way around it.”

Many food aid organizations are trying to buy more food locally. The FAO is reportedly working on a program to offer poor farmers vouchers for seeds and fertilizer to help them adapt to changing climate conditions.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/1231/p13s01-wogi.html?page=2

 

Written by eldib

January 3, 2008 at 1:02 am

How the Iraqi resistance changed the world power balance

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How the Iraqi resistance changed the world power balance!

Roads to Iraq

January 2, 2008iraqi-fighters.jpg

A well written article appeared in two parts at the last days of 2007 on Jordanian newspaper Al-arab Al-youm by Jordanian journalist Nahedh Hatter Part-1,  part-2…Arabic, the original name of the two parts article is “The Iraqi resistance, is it the end?”.

The writer explains the strategy used by the Iraqi resistance to defeat the American occupation, later he counts few mistakes committed by the Iraqi resistance, and in second part he explains how the Iraqi resistance changed the world power balance.

Although Iraqi resistance operations are at lowest level in the last three months, the American occupation didn’t win the war, not militarily nor politically.

At the military level, the US can not win over guerrilla fighters supported by their community, as well as the abilities of the Iraqi resistance fighters proved to be really high since the occupation of 2003 till now.

The Iraqi resistance organizations have not crushed, but it turned into a militia govern their own influence areas.

At the political level, this development does not benefit the American agenda in Iraq, only to obtain a truce for the presidential elections.

The Iraqi resistance internal infrastructure is too complicated to the Americans to manage and can be described as an independent regional power, this was also the British experience with Iraq ninety years ago, prior to the establishment of the Iraqi State.

What does that truce means?
The survival law has won -and this is normal- the resistance community and its guardian of the Sunni Arab tribes fought fiercely and courageously for four years without external support, in difficult circumstances and on three fronts.

In addition to the criminal nature of the occupation, and faced with what could be described as a genocide by two internal forces:

Shiite militias associated with Iran, and Al-Qaeda militias associated with other regional forces, including – ironically-Iran also.

The first one attacked the Sunnis in the Baghdad and its surroundings, and the second attacked the Sunnis in their on region.

therefore, a broad Sunni stream called for a truce, which was accepted by the exhausted and even fatigue occupier, for example:

The resistance slogan says:

The resistance is the only and the legitimate representative of the Iraqi people

Shiites and Kurds interpret this slogan that the Sunnis want to re-gain the power again, therefor, in the Iraqi context, it wasn’t revolutionary, it was sectarian. Neither could any of the resistance organizations, because of their religious or‭ ‬sectarian nature they failed to provide an internal national vision, even the Baathists refused an initiative to self-criticismand review the mistakes of the past,‭ ‬insist on regaining the power which led them to isolation not only by the Iraqi society‭ ‬,‭ ‬but in resistance community also.

But the worst mistake was: hosting Al-Qaeda, which‭ ‬opened the sectarian massacres,‭ ‬imposition‭ itself as ‬Taliban-like, authoritarian state on the resistance in particular.

‭‬The first phase of the Iraqi resistance ended with forcing the occupiers to radically change their strategy,‭ ‬and the recognition of the weight and quality of the Sunni component in the country,‭ making the occupiers change the power share strategy‬ based on Sunni-Shiite,‭ ‬rather than depending on the Kurds,‭ ‬who now return to normal size in the Iraqi and the regional equation.

Although, it was attacked by very powerful enemies, and its internal political weakness, the achievements of the Iraqi resistance in the first stage were tremendous.

They saved the Arab world from kneeling under the weight of the defeat, and it was extremely rapid response resistance in history, this stormy response hindered‭ ‬the American colonial agenda in Iraq and the region and gave it a very painful blows.‭

The Iraqi infrastructure is was intractable on colonialists,‭ ‬in the sense that its internal conditions are stronger than the external conditions‭ ‬-‭ ‬however,‭ ‬the pace of launching the Iraqi resistance,‭ ‬size and ability to inflict heavy losses in the occupation, the military and security groups since spring,‭ ‬2004‭ ‬proved this theory,‭ and‬ demonstrated the historic failure of the neo-conservatives strategy based on the possibility of changing the national structures with military force, his strategy has become obsolete now.‭

Iraqi resistance was able in four years of fighting,‭ ‬to restore order in the regional power balance in favor of States and local forces in the region,‭ ‬each according to its capacity and ability to benefit from the American predicament in Iraq.

‭The biggest winners are Iran,‭ ‬Syria, the Lebanese opposition and‭ ‬Hamas.

At the global level, a four-year American’s sinking in the Iraq-war, was a golden opportunity for China and Russia to be converted into super powers, and it was an opportunity for the socialists in Latin American to advance and seize the power in several countries known before as (the US backyard) at the expense of the interests of America itself, even in North America competition, Washington lost the war in all areas, except the military superiority, but you can not be a superpower dominating the world depending on your bully capabilities alone without economic, cultural and ideological success

Washington, in its war on Iraq lost almost everything, from controlling the international oil sector, where Russia, China and India took the 1/3 of this sector for themselves as comparators,

But the major defeat suffered by the American empire, is the ideological and culture defeat, which is associated in the collective human mind with barbarity, war and bloodshed, and imperialism, since 2003 the world has changed indeed, but to oppose the United Sate agenda.

We do not know when the Iraqi resistance will launch its second phase, but it will come in the future in the form of a popular revolution and the national anti-sectarian and stands against linking politics to religion and regional influence, especially Iran, and this revolution will shakes the American occupation and its influence in the region and the world.

The Iraqis will surprise us as they did always.

It is Iraq’s destiny to fight until the end, and the destiny of the American Empire is to be shattered in Iraq.

http://www.roadstoiraq.com/2008/01/02/how-the-iraqi-resistance-changed-the-world-power-balance/#more-2329

Written by eldib

January 3, 2008 at 12:59 am

The Destabilization of Pakistan

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The Destabilization of Pakistan
 
by: Michel Chossudovsky
on: 02.01.2008
 
The assassination of Benazir Bhutto has created conditions which contribute to the ongoing destabilization and fragmentation of Pakistan as a Nation.

The process of US sponsored “regime change”, which normally consists in the re-formation of a fresh proxy government under new leaders has been broken. Discredited in the eyes of Pakistani public opinion, General Pervez Musharaf cannot remain in the seat of political power. But at the same time, the fake elections supported by the “international community” scheduled for January 2008, even if they were to be carried out, would not be accepted as legitimate, thereby creating a political impasse.

There are indications that the assassination of Benazir Bhutto was anticipated by US officials:

“It has been known for months that the Bush-Cheney administration and its allies have been maneuvering to strengthen their political control of Pakistan, paving the way for the expansion and deepening of the “war on terrorism” across the region.

Various American destabilization plans, known for months by officials and analysts, proposed the toppling of Pakistan’s military…

The assassination of Bhutto appears to have been anticipated. There were even reports of “chatter” among US officials about the possible assassinations of either Pervez Musharraf or Benazir Bhutto, well before the actual attempts took place. (Larry Chin, Global Research, 29 December 2007) 1

Political Impasse

“Regime change” with a view to ensuring continuity under military rule is no longer the main thrust of US foreign policy. The regime of Pervez Musharraf cannot prevail. Washington’s foreign policy course is to actively promote the political fragmentation and balkanization of Pakistan as a nation.

A new political leadership is anticipated but in all likelihood it will take on a very different shape, in relation to previous US sponsored regimes. One can expect that Washington will push for a compliant political leadership, with no commitment to the national interest, a leadership which will serve US imperial interests, while concurrently contributing under the disguise of “decentralization”, to the weakening of the central government and the fracture of Pakistan’s fragile federal structure.

The political impasse is deliberate. It is part of an evolving US foreign policy agenda, which favors disruption and disarray in the structures of the Pakistani State. Indirect rule by the Pakistani military and intelligence apparatus is to be replaced by more direct forms of US interference, including an expanded US military presence inside Pakistan.

This expanded military presence is also dictated by the Middle East-Central Asia geopolitical situation and Washington’s ongoing plans to extend the Middle East war to a much broader area.

The US has several military bases in Pakistan. It controls the country’s air space. According to a recent report: “U.S. Special Forces are expected to vastly expand their presence in Pakistan, as part of an effort to train and support indigenous counter-insurgency forces and clandestine counterterrorism units” (William Arkin, Washington Post, December 2007).

The official justification and pretext for an increased military presence in Pakistan is to extend the “war on terrorism”. Concurrently, to justify its counterrorism program, Washington is also beefing up its covert support to the “terrorists.”

The Balkanization of Pakistan

Already in 2005, a report by the US National Intelligence Council and the CIA forecast a “Yugoslav-like fate” for Pakistan “in a decade with the country riven by civil war, bloodshed and inter-provincial rivalries, as seen recently in Balochistan.” (Energy Compass, 2 March 2005). According to the NIC-CIA, Pakistan is slated to become a “failed state” by 2015, “as it would be affected by civil war, complete Talibanisation and struggle for control of its nuclear weapons”. (Quoted by former Pakistan High Commissioner to UK, Wajid Shamsul Hasan, Times of India, 13 February 2005):

“Nascent democratic reforms will produce little change in the face of opposition from an entrenched political elite and radical Islamic parties. In a climate of continuing domestic turmoil, the Central government’s control probably will be reduced to the Punjabi heartland and the economic hub of Karachi,” the former diplomat quoted the NIC-CIA report as saying.

Expressing apprehension, Hasan asked, “are our military rulers working on a similar agenda or something that has been laid out for them in the various assessment reports over the years by the National Intelligence Council in joint collaboration with CIA?” (Ibid)

Continuity, characterized by the dominant role of the Pakistani military and intelligence has been scrapped in favor of political breakup and balkanization.

According to the NIC-CIA scenario, which Washington intends to carry out: “Pakistan will not recover easily from decades of political and economic mismanagement, divisive policies, lawlessness, corruption and ethnic friction,” (Ibid) .

The US course consists in fomenting social, ethnic and factional divisions and political fragmentation, including the territorial breakup of Pakistan. This course of action is also dictated by US war plans in relation to both Afghanistan and Iran.

This US agenda for Pakistan is similar to that applied throughout the broader Middle East Central Asian region. US strategy, supported by covert intelligence operations, consists in triggering ethnic and religious strife, abetting and financing secessionist movements while also weakening the institutions of the central government.

The broader objective is to fracture the Nation State and redraw the borders of Iraq, Iran, Syria, Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Pakistan’s Oil and Gas reserves

Pakistan’s extensive oil and gas reserves, largely located in Balochistan province, as well as its pipeline corridors are considered strategic by the Anglo-American alliance, requiring the concurrent militarization of Pakistani territory.

Balochistan comprises more than 40 percent of Pakistan’s land mass, possesses important reserves of oil and natural gas as well as extensive mineral resources.

The Iran-India pipeline corridor is slated to transit through Balochistan. Balochistan also possesses a deap sea port largely financed by China located at Gwadar, on the Arabian Sea, not far from the Straits of Hormuz where 30 % of the world’s daily oil supply moves by ship or pipeline. (Asia News.it, 29 December 2007)

Pakistan has an estimated 25.1 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of proven gas reserves of which 19 trillion are located in Balochistan. Among foreign oil and gas contractors in Balochistan are BP, Italy’s ENI, Austria’s OMV, and Australia’s BHP. It is worth noting that Pakistan’s State oil and gas companies, including PPL which has the largest stake in the Sui oil fields of Balochistan are up for privatization under IMF-World Bank supervision.

According to the Oil and Gas Journal (OGJ), Pakistan had proven oil reserves of 300 million barrels, most of which are located in Balochistan. Other estimates place Balochistan oil reserves at an estimated six trillion barrels of oil reserves both on-shore and off-shore (Environment News Service, 27 October 2006). 2

Covert Support to Balochistan Separatists

Balochistan’s strategic energy reserves have a bearing on the separatist agenda. Following a familiar pattern, there are indications that the Baloch insurgency is being supported and abetted by Britain and the US.

The Balochi national resistance movement dates back to the late 1940s, when Balochistan was invaded by Pakistan. In the current geopolitical context, the separatist movement is in the process of being hijacked by foreign powers.

British intelligence is allegedly providing covert support to Balochistan separatists (which from the outset have been repressed by Pakistan’s military). In June 2006, Pakistan’s Senate Committee on Defence accused British intelligence of “abetting the insurgency in the province bordering Iran” Balochistan..(Press Trust of India, 9 August 2006). Ten British MPs were involved in a closed door session of the Senate Committe on Defence regarding the alleged support of Britain’s Secret Service to Balcoh separatists (Ibid).

It would appear that Britain and the US are supporting both sides. The US is providing American F-16 jets to Pakistan, which are being used to bomb Baloch villages in Balochistan. Meanwhile, British alleged covert support (according to the Pakistani by Senate Committee) contributes to weakening the central government.

The stated purpose of US counter-terrorism is to provide covert support as well as as training to “Liberation Armies” ultimately with a view to destabilizing sovereign governments. In Kosovo, the training of the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA) in the 1990s had been entrusted to a private mercenary company, Military Professional Resources Inc (MPRI), on contract to the Pentagon.

The BLA bears a canny resemblance to Kosovo’s KLA, which was financed by the drug trade and supported by the CIA and Germany’s Bundes Nachrichten Dienst (BND).

The BLA emerged shortly after the 1999 military coup. It has no tangible links to the Baloch resistance movement, which developed since the late 1940s. An aura of mystery surrounds the leadership of the BLA.

Washington favors the creation of a “Greater Balochistan” which would integrate the Baloch areas of Pakistan with those of Iran and possibly the Southern tip of Afghanistan (See Map above), thereby leading to a process of political fracturing in both Iran and Pakistan.

“The US is using Balochi nationalism for staging an insurgency inside Iran’s Sistan-Balochistan province. The ‘war on terror’ in Afghanistan gives a useful political backdrop for the ascendancy of Balochi militancy” (See Global Research, 6 March 2007). 3

Military scholar Lieutenant Colonel Ralph Peters writing in the June 2006 issue of The Armed Forces Journal, suggests, in no uncertain terms that Pakistan should be broken up, leading to the formation of a separate country: “Greater Balochistan” or “Free Balochistan” (see Map below). The latter would incorporate the Pakistani and Iranian Baloch provinces into a single political entity.

In turn, according to Peters, Pakistan’s North West Frontier Province (NWFP) should be incorporated into Afghanistan “because of its linguistic and ethnic affinity”.

Although the map does not officially reflect Pentagon doctrine, it has been used in a training program at NATO’s Defense College for senior military officers. This map, as well as other similar maps, have most probably been used at the National War Academy as well as in military planning circles. (See Mahdi D. Nazemroaya, Global Research, 18 November 2006) 4

“Lieutenant-Colonel Peters was last posted, before he retired to the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, within the U.S. Defence Department, and has been one of the Pentagon’s foremost authors with numerous essays on strategy for military journals and U.S. foreign policy.” (Ibid)

It is worth noting that secessionist tendencies are not limited to Balochistan. There are separatist groups in Sindh province, which are largely based on opposition to the Punjabi-dominated military regime of General Pervez Musharraf (For Further details see Selig Harrisson, Le Monde diplomatique, October 2006) 5

“Strong Economic Medicine”: Weakening Pakistan’s Central Government

Pakistan has a federal structure based on federal provincial transfers. Under a federal fiscal structure, the central government transfers financial resources to the provinces, with a view to supporting provincial based programs. When these transfers are frozen as occurred in Yugoslavia in January 1990, on orders of the IMF, the federal fiscal structure collapses:

“State revenues that should have gone as transfer payments to the republics of the Yugoslav federation went instead to service Belgrade’s debt … . The republics were largely left to their own devices. … The budget cuts requiring the redirection of federal revenues towards debt servicing, were conducive to the suspension of transfer payments by Belgrade to the governments of the Republics and Autonomous Provinces.

In one fell swoop, the reformers had engineered the final collapse of Yugoslavia’s federal fiscal structure and mortally wounded its federal political institutions. By cutting the financial arteries between Belgrade and the republics, the reforms fueled secessionist tendencies that fed on economic factors as well as ethnic divisions, virtually ensuring the de facto secession of the republics. (Michel Chossudovsky, The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order, Second Edition, Global Research, Montreal, 2003, Chapter 17.)

It is by no means accidental that the 2005 National Intelligence Council- CIA report had predicted a “Yugoslav-like fate” for Pakistan pointing to the impacts of “economic mismanagement” as one of the causes of political break-up and balkanization.

“Economic mismanagement” is a term used by the Washington based international financial institutions to describe the chaos which results from not fully abiding by the IMF’s Structural Adjustment Program. In actual fact, the “economic mismanagement” and chaos is the outcome of IMF-World Bank prescriptions, which invariably trigger hyperinflation and precipitate indebted countries into extreme poverty.

Pakistan has been subjected to the same deadly IMF “economic medicine” as Yugoslavia: In 1999, in the immediate wake of the coup d’Etat which brought General Pervez Musharaf to the helm of the military government, an IMF economic package, which included currency devaluation and drastic austerity measures, was imposed on Pakistan. Pakistan’s external debt is of the order of US$40 billion. The IMF’s “debt reduction” under the package was conditional upon the sell-off to foreign capital of the most profitable State owned enterprises (including the oil and gas facilities in Balochistan) at rockbottom prices .

Musharaf’s Finance Minister was chosen by Wall Street, which is not an unusual practice. The military rulers appointed at Wall Street’s behest, a vice-president of Citigroup, Shaukat Aziz, who at the time was head of CitiGroup’s Global Private Banking. (See WSWS.org, 30 October 1999). 6 CitiGroup is among the largest commercial foreign banking institutions in Pakistan.

There are obvious similarities in the nature of US covert intelligence operations applied in country after country in different parts of the so-called “developing World”. These covert operation, including the organisation of military coups, are often synchronized with the imposition of IMF-World Bank macro-economic reforms. In this regard, Yugoslavia’s federal fiscal structure collapsed in 1990 leading to mass poverty and heightened ethnic and social divisions. The US and NATO sponsored “civil war” launched in mid-1991 consisted in coveting Islamic groups as well as channeling covert support to separatist paramilitary armies in Bosnia, Kosovo and Macedonia.

A similar “civil war” scenario has been envisaged for Pakistan by the National Intelligence Council and the CIA: From the point of view of US intelligence, which has a longstanding experience in abetting separatist “liberation armies”, “Greater Albania” is to Kosovo what “Greater Balochistan” is to Pakistan’s Southeastern Balochistan province. Similarly, the KLA is Washington’s chosen model, to be replicated in Balochistan province.

The Assassination of Benazir Bhutto

Benazir Bhutto was assassinated in Rawalpindi, no ordinary city. Rawalpindi is a military city host to the headquarters of the Pakistani Armed Forces and Military Intelligence (ISI). Ironically Bhutto was assassinated in an urban area tightly controlled and guarded by the military police and the country’s elite forces. Rawalpindi is swarming with ISI intelligence officials, which invariably infiltrate political rallies. Her assassination was not a haphazard event.

Without evidence, quoting Pakistan government sources, the Western media in chorus has highlighted the role of Al-Qaeda, while also focusing on the the possible involvement of the ISI.

What these interpretations do not mention is that the ISI continues to play a key role in overseeing Al Qaeda on behalf of US intelligence. The press reports fail to mention two important and well documented facts:

1) the ISI maintains close ties to the CIA. The ISI is virtually an appendage of the CIA.

2) Al Qaeda is a creation of the CIA. The ISI provides covert support to Al Qaeda, acting on behalf of US intelligence.

The involvement of either Al Qaeda and/or the ISI would suggest that US intelligence was cognizant and/or implicated in the assassination plot.


References:

1 http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=7699

2 http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/oct2006/2006-10-27-insmus.asp

3 http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=5003

4 http://www.globalresearch.ca/PrintArticle.php?articleId=3882

5 http://mondediplo.com/2006/10/05baluchistan

6 http://www.wsws.org/articles/1999/oct1999/pak-o30.shtml

Michel Chossudovsky
Homepage: http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=7705

http://www.indymedia.org.uk/en/2008/01/388661.html

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January 3, 2008 at 12:53 am