Collapsing Cities – The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
Collapsing Cities
The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities

Below table lists the world’s cities that are likely to collapse completely or partially by or before 2012¹ in the first wave of collapse.
The collapse would be caused by a combination of failing ecosystems, human-enhanced environmental catastrophes; failing infrastructure; food, water and fuel shortages; infectious disease; war, civil conflict and other dynamics.
Following the first phase of collapse, massive waves of human migration from the affected areas create a domino effect that causes the collapse of the remaining population centers shortly after.
Is your city safe?
To prevent misuse of data, commercial exploitation, or property speculation, the project coordinators are withholding names and specific details of the first phase of world’s collapsing cities until further notice.
See table below for general information.
Table C.1. No. of world cities that could collapse completely or partially by 2012, the corresponding regions/countries and number of people that would be affected initially, according to the worst case future scenario. (Sources: MSRB, CASF)
Important Notice:
1. The date “2012” is based on the dynamic model simulations analyzing the environmental impact of excessive energy consumption. The CASF Committee and Members do NOT endorse Mayan Calendar or any New Age, ancient, or bible prophecies whatever.
The Dynamics of Collapse
The following exhibit lists the most probable [leading] causes that would drive the first wave of the world cities to collapse. [Note: The data is listed in random order]
- Mass suicide as a result of neurological disorder caused by mercury [or other heavy metal] poisoning.
- Tourism [euphemistically, eco-tourism]
- Accumulation of toxic pollution in the environment
- Overwhelmed by mounting waste: agricultural, municipal (garbage and sewage) and industrial
- Poor global harvest/Food scarcity [Humans are one harvest away from starvation!]
- Running Dry (Running out of freshwater)
- Human-induced climate change
- Increased UV radiation
- Foodborne, waterborne, airborne and insectborne infectious diseases (viral, bacterial, parasitic, fungal, prion)
- Droughts
- Sinking into the ground (large-scale subsidence caused by overuse of groundwater supplies)
- Global collapse of pollinators
- Extreme climatic events (including extreme rain events, floods)
- Famine
- Collapse of natural pest regulation systems
- Failing ecosystems
- Societal collapse
- Moral decline (unethical behavior, unsustainable lifestyles, overconsumption)
- Fuel shortage
- Spread of pandemic diseases
- Industrial accidents (including radionuclide, chemical and oil spills)
- Deforestation
- Epidemics of plant and animal diseases
- Desertification; Soil degradation (salination, erosion, loss of topsoil and fertility)
- Economic collapse
- Land use change
- Habitat destruction
- War (conventional and nuclear)
- Collapse of fisheries/fish species
- Civil conflict
- Poverty
- Overshoot of Carrying Capacity; Increased ecological footprint; Overpopulation (esp. DCs*)
- Inordinate prevalence of psychopathology caused by exponential growth economy: money fetishism, industrialism, militarism, atomic lifestyles, consumerism, throwaway culture, dysfunctional societies …
- Human-enhanced natural catastrophes including earthquakes, floods, tsunamis, hurricanes, tropical storms, cyclones, extreme rainfall events, landslides, volcanic eruptions, droughts and wildfires
*DCs: Developed Countries
